Ohio Countdown 2004

2004 Presidential battleground analyzed by a grizzled campaign veteran and Ohio's Top Targeted Undecided Perfectly Predictive Swing Voter - His Mom.

11/03/2004

What Happened? A 5 O'Clock Lull

No one's conceding yet, but......

I'm still trying to figure out how you win PA, MI, WI....and lose Ohio?!?!?! Here's one way.

In my circuit of African American polling places in Cleveland on election day, it was clear early in the day that a massive turnout was underway. The morning was so packed, pollworkers were starting to lose it.

As everyone knows, Democrats vote late. If our turnout spiked so high in the morning, the evening rush, 4-7.30, was going to be massive. Exit polls started leaking out about 3, and showed Kerry ahead in Ohio....before our evening rush.

But then the turnout started disappearing. At 5 p.m. I was sitting in an African American precinct surrounded by empty voting machines and tired pollworkers. Just like that....it just fizzled.

3 Comments:

At 2:11 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It fizzled in my Stow precinct too. I voted around 6:30pm and it wasn't empty but there were no lines at all either. I was thinking at the time maybe it was because it was cold and rainy, but now I think the buzz from the exit polls might have had some wondering if they really had to go vote.

p.s. Is it too early to start the blame game? I don't know what kind of TV and radio ads they were running in PA, MI, and WI, but for the last 2 weeks all they've been running here are the Michael Moore-like "Bush is too close to the Saudis" ads. Not a single person I know, Kerry supporter, Bush supporter, or undecided, buys a word of it. They shouldn't have been selling it.

 
At 11:52 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

So now, with a little time to reflect, what happened to that late turnout? Why was their fizzle rather than the usual rush?

 
At 6:20 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Bush / Cheney '04

Oh wait, we already won. Get a fucking life you whiners.

 

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