Ohio Countdown 2004

2004 Presidential battleground analyzed by a grizzled campaign veteran and Ohio's Top Targeted Undecided Perfectly Predictive Swing Voter - His Mom.


Mom Losing Interest, May Not Even Vote!

My mother's super predictive voting behavior is sometimes just plain scary. As I expected, she has grown tired of watching the debates...she didn't watch the second Kerry-Bush debate, and says she will not watch the third. Despite getting more mail from ACT, she hasn't commented on it, either here or otherwise. She is disengaging.

Note - this is entirely normal - yes, blogging world, not everyone is obsessed with this election.

But here's the kicker - she says she's so disgusted now, she's not going to vote! This mirrors the commonly held theory that if someone is still undecided at this late date, they may simply not vote.

No worries, though...it may be time for a little puppy-eyed, "c'mon, ma" persuasion from the Democratic son. But in the broader world, one wonders which candidate loses most when voters are so disgusted with the election they simply opt out. My guess is that the incumbent usually suffers most from this.


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