Ohio Countdown 2004

2004 Presidential battleground analyzed by a grizzled campaign veteran and Ohio's Top Targeted Undecided Perfectly Predictive Swing Voter - His Mom.

8/03/2004

Polling Everywhere - Wait For Halloween

It is really quite amazing how much early polling is readily available this year for Ohio. Just spend 10 minutes roaming the internet for polls...you will be overwhelmed. There's a good site that brings swing state Zogby polling together, check it out.

In Ohio, only one poll really matters (aside from the actual voting). The Columbus Dispatch does a poll the Sunday before the election (which this year is October 31, Halloween...make of that what you will). It is eerily predictive...down to tenths of a percentage point.

The Dispatch poll's precision is a mystery. It is never wrong. Plus, it is a mail in poll...yes, the US Postal Service. No one really knows how it works...but it does.

So when you're looking at polling data for the next 3 months, just hold on to your hat...and log onto www.dispatch.com on Halloween...that will tell the tale.

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